We're past the midpoint of the 2025 NFL season. Standings tell part of the story, but FPI, betting lines, injuries, schedule and on-the-ground reporting change the outlook. Seth Walder sorted all 32 teams into nine tiers based on FPI, market lines, recent performance, health and reporting. Below are the tiers with each team's record, FPI playoff/division/Super Bowl chances, a short take on their current state and a concrete second-half objective from NFL Nation reporters.
Tier 1 — True Super Bowl contenders Philadelphia Eagles (6-2) — Playoffs: 96.7% | NFC East: 96.2% | Super Bowl: 18.8% The defending champs look built to repeat the division, and recent additions at edge and corner help mask earlier weaknesses. Goal: Lock up the NFC’s top seed.
Los Angeles Rams (7-2) — Playoffs: 95.2% | NFC West: 54.3% | Super Bowl: 22.2% Stafford healthy, Puka Nacua playing elite, and the defense is stout. Goal: Secure home-field advantage in the playoffs.
Buffalo Bills (6-3) — Playoffs: 87.2% | AFC East: 29.3% | Super Bowl: 12.4% Josh Allen has been inconsistent at times and the run defense looked shaky against Miami. Goal: Chase the AFC’s No. 1 seed.
Seattle Seahawks (7-2) — Playoffs: 91.7%
