Miami is closing in but still needs help. Sitting at No. 12 in the committee’s fourth ranking, the Hurricanes give the ACC a shot at two teams in the 12-team field, but time is short. The ACC champion — even if it’s No. 18 Virginia — will almost certainly be among the five highest-ranked conference champions and thus secure a CFP spot. That leaves Miami fighting for an at-large berth with one game remaining: Saturday at No. 22 Pitt.
Ole Miss’s result in the Egg Bowl could also alter the bubble. No. 6 Oregon jumped ahead of No. 7 Ole Miss in the fourth ranking, so a second Ole Miss stumble would narrow the margin for contenders behind them.
How this watch works: Bubble Watch blends signals from the committee’s current ranking with historical precedent about who tends to cling to hope. Teams labeled “Would be in” are in this week’s bracket based on the committee’s fourth ranking. For each Power 4 league, “Last team in” and “First team out” identify the true bubble teams. “Still in the mix” lists squads not eliminated but needing wins or help. “Out” denotes teams effectively done for this season.
Conferences are ordered by how many bids they’d receive under the fourth ranking.
SEC
